PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

Como

WWDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusComo
Shots11 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession52%48%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Como. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Como.

6.76 days▲Rest daysJuventus · Como2.76 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventusComoBaseline
Rest days6.76 days2.76 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Juventus have a visible home split

moderate

Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match16.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Juventus
0Draws
1Como
Como — Juventus · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Como in 4 · 6 too close

1.65 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/261.58 goals/match
0.96 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲0.73 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/2614.3 shots/match
10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲9.62 shots/match
6.04 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/265.08 shots/match
2.88 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 26/263.5 shots/match
57%Possessionseason · 26/2661%
5.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/264.04 corners/match
3.81 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/26▲3.46 corners/match
1.35 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 26/262.42 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2613.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
35%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲50%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2673%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus77.5
Como97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus92.5
Como84.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus80.8
Como87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus92.5
Como27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus20
Como77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus87.5
Como42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus77.5
Como67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/matchShots5/516.4 shots/match
6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
51.6%Possession5/559.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.9 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1015.3 shots/match
7.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.2 shots/match
58.1%Possession10/1062.7%
6.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.58 goals/match
0.96 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲0.73 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots26/2614.3 shots/match
6.04 shots/match▲Shots on target26/265.08 shots/match
57%Possession26/2661%
5.27 corners/matchCorners26/264.04 corners/match
1.35 cards/matchCards26/262.42 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.92 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.54 goals/match
0.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲0.77 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19 shots/match▲Shots13/1312.7 shots/match
6.92 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134.08 shots/match
56.7%Possession13/1358.8%
6.08 corners/matchCorners13/133.69 corners/match
0.92 cards/matchCards13/132.38 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.76 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsJuventusComo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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