PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter 2–0 Genoa · Serie A

Inter

WWWWW
2–0Historical match

Genoa

WLLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–0.

Shots
146
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.540.21
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Genoa 2–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Genoa): shots 14–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.54–0.21, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Genoa11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterGenoaBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against8.11 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

weak

Genoa's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.4% ●PossessionInter · Genoa47.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterGenoaBaseline
Possession60.4%47.6%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsInter 14 shots, Genoa 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsInter 6 shots, Genoa 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG0.21 xGInter 1.54 xG, Genoa 0.21 xG
  • Possession56%44%Inter 56%, Genoa 44%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersInter 10 corners, Genoa 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsInter 13 fouls, Genoa 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardInter 2 cards, Genoa 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikael Ellertsson · Genoa · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Inter · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Østigård · Genoa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnge-Yoan Bonny · Inter · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Barella · Inter · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStefan de Vrij · Inter · 7′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikael Ellertsson · Genoa · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Inter · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndy Diouf · Inter · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 31′ · 0.05 xG · goalMikael Ellertsson · Genoa · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndy Diouf · Inter · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Inter · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Inter · 30′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNicolò Barella · Inter · 33′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 70′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.59 xG. Genoa: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Federico Dimarco · Inter · 31′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.59 xG · Genoa 0.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
2Draws
0Genoa
Genoa — Inter · Serie A1–2
Inter — Genoa · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Inter · Serie A2–2
Inter — Genoa · Serie A2–1
Genoa — Inter · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter27 matchesGenoa27 matches
2.37 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.19 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.44 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.21 xG/match
18.6 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.6 shots/match
6.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.04 shots/match
60.4% ●Possession27/2747.6%
6.96 corners/match ●Corners27/273.56 corners/match
1.63 cards/matchCards27/272 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterGenoa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headInter — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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