Serie A · 2025Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 11:30 UTCFull timeStadio Ennio TardiniFull-time recap

Parma

WDLWD

0–0Full-time recap

Genoa

LLDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Parma	Genoa
Shots	14 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	7 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	18 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Parma. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Parma.

3.75 days▲Rest daysParma · Genoa5.75 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Parma	Genoa	Baseline
Rest days	3.75 days	5.75 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Parma

1Draws

0Genoa

19 Oct 2025Genoa — Parma · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Parma favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Genoa in 4 · 6 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/21▲1.05 goals/match

1.05 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/211.38 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/2111.2 shots/match

14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/21▲13.4 shots/match

2.76 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/21▲3.95 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 21/214.38 shots/match

43%Possessionseason · 21/2146.7%

3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/213.33 corners/match

4.71 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 21/215.43 corners/match

2.1 cards/matchCardsseason · 21/212.19 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2113.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2119%

48%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/21▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Parma12.5

Genoa47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Parma15.8

Genoa35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Parma40.8

Genoa35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Parma67.5

Genoa47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Parma31.2

Genoa61.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Parma12.5

Genoa12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Parma16.2

Genoa36.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10 shots/matchShots5/510.2 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match

45%Possession5/546.6%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.2 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.2 shots/match

44.6%Possession10/1045%

3.7 corners/matchCorners10/102.2 corners/match

1.9 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match

9.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲1.05 goals/match

1.05 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/211.38 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.1 shots/matchShots21/2111.2 shots/match

2.76 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲3.95 shots/match

43%Possession21/2146.7%

3.33 corners/matchCorners21/213.33 corners/match

2.1 cards/matchCards21/212.19 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 10 matches

0.64 goals/matchGoals scored11/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/101.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.6 shots/match▲Shots11/1010.5 shots/match

2.36 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲4 shots/match

43.7%Possession11/1041.8%

3.55 corners/matchCorners11/103.2 corners/match

1.91 cards/matchCards11/102.3 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1013.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.75 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.75 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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