PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 12 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeStadio Luigi FerrarisFull-time recap

Genoa

LLLDD
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGenoaCagliari
Shots11 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession44%56%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Genoa, Cagliari. A second useful context is: Cagliari's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Genoa, Cagliari.

3.91 days▲Rest daysGenoa · Cagliari4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGenoaCagliariBaseline
Rest days3.91 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cagliari's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Genoa
1Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Genoa · Serie A3–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Genoa favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Cagliari in 1 · 8 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/201.05 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/201.5 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/2010.5 shots/match
13.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/2013.2 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/203.45 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/205.25 shots/match
46.6%Possessionseason · 20/2046.3%
3.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/203.45 corners/match
5.35 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/20▲5.05 corners/match
2.2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/202.5 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2015.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2015%
70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2065%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Genoa47.5
Cagliari37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Genoa40
Cagliari26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Genoa30.8
Cagliari24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Genoa47.5
Cagliari22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Genoa62.5
Cagliari91.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Genoa12.5
Cagliari17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Genoa35
Cagliari38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
42.6%Possession5/552.2%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲10.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
44.2%Possession10/1046.7%
2.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored20/201.05 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots20/2010.5 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target20/203.45 shots/match
46.6%Possession20/2046.3%
3.35 corners/matchCorners20/203.45 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards20/202.5 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2015.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.55 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shots11/1110.8 shots/match
3.91 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.18 shots/match
51.2%Possession11/1145.3%
3.45 corners/matchCorners11/113.18 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCards11/112.45 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1115.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGenoaCagliari
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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