PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 12 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
5–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusCremonese
Shots18 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target11 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match▲ShotsJuventus · Cremonese8.55 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusCremoneseBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match8.55 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match17 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus have a visible home split

moderate

Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Juventus
0Draws
0Cremonese
Cremonese — Juventus · Serie A1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 0 · 4 too close

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/201 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.4 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/208.55 shots/match
10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2017 shots/match
5.95 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/203.15 shots/match
2.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/205.6 shots/match
57.3%Possessionseason · 20/2045.3%
4.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/203.25 corners/match
4.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/206.4 corners/match
1.3 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/202.1 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2013 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2025%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5
Cremonese27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus94.2
Cremonese14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus86.7
Cremonese15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus87.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus18.8
Cremonese45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus77.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus75.6
Cremonese16.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match
8.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
57.2%Possession5/542.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
0.6 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.9 shots/match▲Shots10/109.5 shots/match
6.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
57.3%Possession10/1046.1%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
0.9 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored20/201 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.2 shots/match▲Shots20/208.55 shots/match
5.95 shots/match▲Shots on target20/203.15 shots/match
57.3%Possession20/2045.3%
4.9 corners/matchCorners20/203.25 corners/match
1.3 cards/matchCards20/202.1 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2013 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 11 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/110.82 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/111.36 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19 shots/match▲Shots10/118.18 shots/match
7.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/112.73 shots/match
58%Possession10/1143.9%
6.2 corners/matchCorners10/113.36 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards10/112.18 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1113.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.09 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsJuventusCremonese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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