PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Unipol Domus

Cagliari 1–0 Juventus · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 1–0.

Shots
321
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.111.35
Possession
22%78%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Juventus 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Juventus): shots 3–21, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.11–1.35, possession 22%–78%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Juventus16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariJuventusBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match9.86 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.2%PossessionCagliari · Juventus● 58.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariJuventusBaseline
Possession45.2%58.2%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots21 shotsCagliari 3 shots, Juventus 21 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsCagliari 1 shot, Juventus 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.11 xG1.35 xGCagliari 0.11 xG, Juventus 1.35 xG
  • Possession22%78%Cagliari 22%, Juventus 78%
  • Corners1 corner18 cornersCagliari 1 corner, Juventus 18 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsCagliari 16 fouls, Juventus 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardCagliari 0 cards, Juventus 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fabio Miretti · Juventus · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 88′ · 0.01 xG · on targetManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLloyd Kelly · Juventus · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Cagliari · 65′ · 0.02 xG · goalEdon Zhegrova · Juventus · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVasilije Adžić · Juventus · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Juventus · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Juventus · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Juventus · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Juventus · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cagliari · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBremer · Juventus · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Juventus · 25′ · 0.14 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · Juventus · 90′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Juventus · 73′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.14 xG. Juventus: 21 shots, 5 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luca Mazzitelli · Cagliari · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.14 xG · Juventus 1.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cagliari
2Draws
3Juventus
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A2–2
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari21 matchesJuventus21 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.81 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.69 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 16.4 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.9 shots/match
45.2%Possession21/21● 58.2%
3.33 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.52 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards21/211.29 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headCagliari — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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