PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap

Udinese

LDLWD
0–1Full-time recap

Inter

WWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUdineseInter
Shots5 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession38%62%
Corners2 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter. A second useful context is: Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter.

7 days▲Rest daysUdinese · Inter2.76 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricUdineseInterBaseline
Rest days7 days2.76 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsUdinese · Inter17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUdineseInterBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match17.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match8.38 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Udinese
0Draws
0Inter
Inter — Udinese · Serie A1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 10 · 4 too close

1.05 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/21▲2.1 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/21▲0.81 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/21▲17.6 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/21▲8.38 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/21▲5.81 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/21▲2.62 shots/match
46.1%Possessionseason · 21/2159.5%
4.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/216.9 corners/match
4.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/21▲2.71 corners/match
1.81 cards/matchCardsseason · 21/21▲1.57 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2114.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/21▲52%
76%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/21▲95%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese37.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese34.2
Inter95.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese42.5
Inter88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese62.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese47.5
Inter47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese52.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese47.5
Inter91.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲18.6 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.8 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/560.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲17.1 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.2 shots/match
45.1%Possession10/1058.6%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/106.5 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲2.1 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲0.81 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots21/21▲17.6 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲5.81 shots/match
46.1%Possession21/2159.5%
4.38 corners/matchCorners21/216.9 corners/match
1.81 cards/matchCards21/211.57 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2114.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored11/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲0.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/matchShots11/10▲17.3 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲4.9 shots/match
48%Possession11/1059.4%
4.18 corners/matchCorners11/105.7 corners/match
1.36 cards/matchCards11/101.8 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1014.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.76 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsUdineseInter
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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