PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe MeazzaFull-time recap

Inter

WWWWW
2–2Full-time recap

Napoli

WLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricInterNapoli
Shots13 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.79 corners/match▲CornersInter · Napoli5.58 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInterNapoliBaseline
Corners6.79 corners/match5.58 corners/match4.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter.

4 days▲Rest daysInter · Napoli4.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInterNapoliBaseline
Rest days4 days4.09 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match▲ShotsInter · Napoli13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterNapoliBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against8.47 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Inter
0Draws
1Napoli
Napoli — Inter · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Napoli in 1 · 7 too close

2.21 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 19/191.58 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/190.89 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
17.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 19/1913.1 shots/match
8.47 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1910.6 shots/match
5.79 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/194.74 shots/match
2.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/192.68 shots/match
58.9%Possessionseason · 19/1957.2%
6.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/195.58 corners/match
2.74 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/192.68 corners/match
1.58 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/19▲1.42 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
47%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1937%
95%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1979%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter92.5
Napoli77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter97.5
Napoli75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter86.7
Napoli81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter97.5
Napoli32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter50
Napoli15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter97.5
Napoli87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter93.8
Napoli61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.2 shots/match▲Shots5/513 shots/match
6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
58%Possession5/560%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.9 shots/match
5.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
58.3%Possession10/1054.3%
6 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
2.21 goals/match▲Goals scored19/191.58 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed19/190.89 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.6 shots/match▲Shots19/1913.1 shots/match
5.79 shots/match▲Shots on target19/194.74 shots/match
58.9%Possession19/1957.2%
6.79 corners/matchCorners19/195.58 corners/match
1.58 cards/matchCards19/191.42 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 11 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/111.27 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/110.82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1113 shots/match
6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/114.36 shots/match
58.7%Possession10/1157.5%
7.7 corners/matchCorners10/115.09 corners/match
1.3 cards/matchCards10/111.36 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1111.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.09 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsInterNapoli
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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