Serie A · 2025Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona 0–1 Lazio · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Lazio

WDDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 0–1.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.530.9
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Hellas Verona 1–0. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Lazio): shots 10–11, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.53–0.9, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona, Lazio.

3.98 days ▲Rest daysHellas Verona · Lazio3.89 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHellas VeronaLazioBaseline
Rest days3.98 days3.89 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.4%PossessionHellas Verona · Lazio● 51%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaLazioBaseline
Possession39.4%51%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsHellas Verona 10 shots, Lazio 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsHellas Verona 2 shots, Lazio 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG0.9 xGHellas Verona 0.53 xG, Lazio 0.9 xG
  • Possession36%64%Hellas Verona 36%, Lazio 64%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerHellas Verona 2 corners, Lazio 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsHellas Verona 12 fouls, Lazio 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardHellas Verona 2 cards, Lazio 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Roberto Gagliardini · Hellas Verona · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartin Frese · Hellas Verona · 49′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernede · Hellas Verona · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDomagoj Bradarić · Hellas Verona · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArmel Bella-Kotchap · Hellas Verona · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiovane · Hellas Verona · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernede · Hellas Verona · 77′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 4′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 72′ · 0.12 xG · on targetVictor Nelsson · Lazio · 79′ · 0.13 xG · goalVictor Nelsson · Hellas Verona · 88′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 60′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 4′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.53 xG. Lazio: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Victor Nelsson · Lazio · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 0.53 xG · Lazio 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Hellas Verona
1Draws
4Lazio
Lazio — Hellas Verona · Serie A4–0
Hellas Verona — Lazio · Serie A0–3
Lazio — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–1
Lazio — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0
Hellas Verona — Lazio · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 4 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona19 matchesLazio20 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored19/20▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed19/20▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals19/201.06 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots19/2011.3 shots/match
4.26 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/204.05 shots/match
39.4%Possession19/20● 51%
3.58 corners/matchCorners19/20● 3.8 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCards19/202.45 cards/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls19/2010.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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