PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Wed, 7 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeStadio Diego Armando MaradonaFull-time recap

Napoli

WWLWW
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNapoliHellas Verona
Shots15 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession70%30%
Corners6 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Napoli, Hellas Verona. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Napoli, Hellas Verona.

3.25 days▲Rest daysNapoli · Hellas Verona3.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNapoliHellas VeronaBaseline
Rest days3.25 days3.02 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Napoli have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.6%▲PossessionNapoli · Hellas Verona39.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNapoliHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession57.6%39.6%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Napoli favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0 · 4 too close

1.56 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/180.83 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/181.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/1811.7 shots/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1813.5 shots/match
4.83 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/184.39 shots/match
2.61 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/184.33 shots/match
57.6%Possessionseason · 18/1839.6%
5.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/183.67 corners/match
2.61 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 18/184.89 corners/match
1.44 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 18/182.56 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1817.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1817%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1856%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Napoli87.5
Hellas Verona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Napoli80.8
Hellas Verona40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Napoli88.3
Hellas Verona22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Napoli37.5
Hellas Verona92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Napoli15
Hellas Verona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Napoli87.5
Hellas Verona32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Napoli66.2
Hellas Verona58.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
60%Possession5/539.4%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
55.2%Possession10/1039.3%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1017.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 18 matches
1.56 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.83 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots18/1811.7 shots/match
4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target18/184.39 shots/match
57.6%Possession18/1839.6%
5.83 corners/matchCorners18/183.67 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards18/182.56 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1817.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 10 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored8/100.7 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/101.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shots8/1011.2 shots/match
5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/103.7 shots/match
56.6%Possession8/1037.3%
6.25 corners/matchCorners8/102.7 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards8/102.8 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls8/1017.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.02 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNapoliHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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