Serie A · 2025Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna 0–2 Atalanta · Serie A

Bologna

LDLDL
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 0–2.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.11.38
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Bologna 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Atalanta): shots 11–11, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.1–1.38, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bologna, Atalanta.

2.91 days ▲Rest daysBologna · Atalanta3.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBolognaAtalantaBaseline
Rest days2.91 days3.91 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsBologna 11 shots, Atalanta 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsBologna 2 shots, Atalanta 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG1.38 xGBologna 1.1 xG, Atalanta 1.38 xG
  • Possession53%47%Bologna 53%, Atalanta 47%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersBologna 6 corners, Atalanta 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsBologna 16 fouls, Atalanta 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards0 cardsBologna 0 cards, Atalanta 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Krstović · Atalanta · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartin Vitík · Bologna · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHonest Ahanor · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 70′ · 0.11 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.13 xG · goalTorbjørn Heggem · Bologna · 58′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedHonest Ahanor · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 4′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 17′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.08 xG. Atalanta: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nikola Krstović · Atalanta · 37′Nikola Krstović · Atalanta · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.08 xG · Atalanta 1.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bologna
1Draws
1Atalanta
Atalanta — Bologna · Serie A2–0
Bologna — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Atalanta — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Atalanta · Serie A1–0
Atalanta — Bologna · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna18 matchesAtalanta19 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/191.21 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed18/19▲ 1 goal/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals18/19▲ 1.39 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots18/19▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target18/194.26 shots/match
55.7%Possession18/19● 55.9%
5 corners/matchCorners18/19● 5.84 corners/match
2.06 cards/matchCards18/191.47 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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