PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeNew Balance ArenaFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

Torino

WWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtalantaTorino
Shots18 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession56%44%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atalanta, Torino. A second useful context is: Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atalanta, Torino.

3.09 days▲Rest daysAtalanta · Torino3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtalantaTorinoBaseline
Rest days3.09 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

56%▲PossessionAtalanta · Torino44.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaTorinoBaseline
Possession56%44.9%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Atalanta
0Draws
0Torino
Torino — Atalanta · Serie A0–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atalanta favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Torino in 1 · 6 too close

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/201.05 goals/match
0.95 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.6 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/2012.3 shots/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2013.4 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/204.5 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/204.15 shots/match
56%Possessionseason · 20/2044.9%
5.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/204.3 corners/match
4.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/204.25 corners/match
1.45 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/201.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2014.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
35%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/20▲40%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2070%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atalanta72.5
Torino22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atalanta70.8
Torino49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atalanta65.8
Torino30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atalanta62.5
Torino77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atalanta15
Torino47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atalanta87.5
Torino47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atalanta62.5
Torino58.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/matchShots5/5▲14 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/550.6%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.9 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.8 shots/match
55.8%Possession10/1045%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
1.1 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored20/201.05 goals/match
0.95 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots20/2012.3 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target20/204.5 shots/match
56%Possession20/2044.9%
5.8 corners/matchCorners20/204.3 corners/match
1.45 cards/matchCards20/201.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls20/2014.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 10 matches
1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored11/101 goals/match
0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.3 shots/match▲Shots11/1012.3 shots/match
4.82 shots/match▲Shots on target11/104.4 shots/match
55.4%Possession11/1043.3%
6.45 corners/matchCorners11/104.2 corners/match
1.27 cards/matchCards11/102.1 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1014.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtalantaTorino
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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