PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

AS Roma

WLWLW
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAS RomaSassuolo
Shots26 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession64%36%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for AS Roma, Sassuolo. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for AS Roma, Sassuolo.

4 days▲Rest daysAS Roma · Sassuolo3.89 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAS RomaSassuoloBaseline
Rest days4 days3.89 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sassuolo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsAS Roma · Sassuolo10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaSassuoloBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1AS Roma
0Draws
0Sassuolo
Sassuolo — AS Roma · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AS Roma favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 0 · 5 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/201.15 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.35 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/2010.1 shots/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2014.3 shots/match
4.85 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/203.65 shots/match
3.65 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/205.25 shots/match
57.7%Possessionseason · 20/2045.4%
5.1 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/203.5 corners/match
3.3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/204.6 corners/match
2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/202.3 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2012.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2020%
70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2065%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Roma87.5
Sassuolo27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Roma70.8
Sassuolo34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Roma87.5
Sassuolo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Roma42.5
Sassuolo12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Roma62.5
Sassuolo55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Roma82.5
Sassuolo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Roma78.8
Sassuolo26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/57.4 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
57.6%Possession5/545.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
55.8%Possession10/1044.1%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored20/201.15 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.35 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots20/2010.1 shots/match
4.85 shots/match▲Shots on target20/203.65 shots/match
57.7%Possession20/2045.4%
5.1 corners/matchCorners20/203.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards20/202.3 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots10/109.1 shots/match
4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match
59%Possession10/1042.9%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.89 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAS RomaSassuolo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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