PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Tue, 6 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeMAPEI Stadium - Città del TricoloreFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSassuoloJuventus
Shots6 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Possession44%56%
Corners5 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls3 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sassuolo, Juventus. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sassuolo, Juventus.

3.24 days▲Rest daysSassuolo · Juventus3.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSassuoloJuventusBaseline
Rest days3.24 days3.11 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsSassuolo · Juventus16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloJuventusBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Juventus in 10 · 4 too close

1.21 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.42 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲0.84 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲16.1 shots/match
13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲10.3 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲5.68 shots/match
5.21 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/19▲2.84 shots/match
45.8%Possessionseason · 19/1957.2%
3.58 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.95 corners/match
4.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲4.16 corners/match
2.32 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/19▲1.37 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1912.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲37%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo37.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo40.8
Juventus85.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo22.5
Juventus85.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo22.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo53.8
Juventus18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo27.5
Juventus72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo29.4
Juventus73.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.8 shots/match
46.6%Possession5/555.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/50.8 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.6 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.7 shots/match
46.6%Possession10/1056.4%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/100.9 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.42 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲0.84 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots19/19▲16.1 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲5.68 shots/match
45.8%Possession19/1957.2%
3.58 corners/matchCorners19/194.95 corners/match
2.32 cards/matchCards19/191.37 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.4 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.6 shots/match
47.8%Possession10/1056.5%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.11 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 6 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSassuoloJuventus
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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