Serie A · 2025Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce 0–2 Roma · Serie A

Lecce

WLWLD
0–2Historical match

Roma

LWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 0–2.

Shots
610
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.551.33
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Roma beat Lecce 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – AS Roma): shots 6–10, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.55–1.33, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lecce, AS Roma.

3 days ▲Rest daysLecce · AS Roma2.89 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLecceAS RomaBaseline
Rest days3 days2.89 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.83 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · AS Roma13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceAS RomaBaseline
Shots9.83 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots10 shotsLecce 6 shots, Roma 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsLecce 1 shot, Roma 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG1.33 xGLecce 0.55 xG, Roma 1.33 xG
  • Possession51%49%Lecce 51%, Roma 49%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersLecce 2 corners, Roma 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls20 foulsLecce 10 fouls, Roma 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardLecce 3 cards, Roma 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ylber Ramadani · Lecce · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWesley · AS Roma · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pisilli · AS Roma · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · AS Roma · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Štulić · Lecce · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · AS Roma · 14′ · 0.07 xG · goalPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 6′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · AS Roma · 42′ · 0.22 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 61′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 59′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · AS Roma · 71′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.57 xG. AS Roma: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Evan Ferguson · AS Roma · 14′Artem Dovbyk · AS Roma · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.57 xG · AS Roma 1.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
2Draws
3Roma
Lecce — Roma · Serie A0–1
Roma — Lecce · Serie A4–1
Lecce — Roma · Serie A0–0
Roma — Lecce · Serie A2–1
Lecce — Roma · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce18 matchesRoma19 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored18/19▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed18/19▲ 0.63 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals18/19▲ 1.23 xG/match
9.83 shots/matchShots18/19▲ 13.1 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target18/19▲ 4.79 shots/match
44.2%Possession18/19● 57.3%
5 corners/matchCorners18/19● 5.11 corners/match
1.94 cards/matchCards18/192 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1914.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 6 Jan 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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