PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Lecce

LWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusLecce
Shots25 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession72%28%
Corners10 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus have a visible home split

moderate

Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.1 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match▲ShotsJuventus · Lecce10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusLecceBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.94 corners/match▲CornersJuventus · Lecce5.18 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricJuventusLecceBaseline
Corners4.94 corners/match5.18 corners/match4.29 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Lecce in 1 · 4 too close

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/170.71 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/171.35 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/1710.1 shots/match
10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1712.6 shots/match
5.44 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/172.76 shots/match
2.89 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/174.35 shots/match
57.3%Possessionseason · 18/1743.8%
4.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/175.18 corners/match
4.11 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 18/175.35 corners/match
1.44 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 18/171.88 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1712.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/17▲35%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1753%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5
Lecce17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus85.8
Lecce10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus80.8
Lecce42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus87.5
Lecce27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus17.5
Lecce30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus67.5
Lecce72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus71.2
Lecce31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/543.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.4 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
56.5%Possession10/1044.2%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 17 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored18/170.71 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/171.35 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.1 shots/match▲Shots18/1710.1 shots/match
5.44 shots/match▲Shots on target18/172.76 shots/match
57.3%Possession18/1743.8%
4.94 corners/matchCorners18/175.18 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards18/171.88 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1712.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 8 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/80.75 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/81.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.1 shots/match▲Shots9/88.75 shots/match
6.89 shots/match▲Shots on target9/82 shots/match
58%Possession9/840.8%
6.44 corners/matchCorners9/84.88 corners/match
1.11 cards/matchCards9/81.75 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls9/812.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsJuventusLecce
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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