Serie A · 2025Tue, 6 Jan 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

LLDLD
03Full-time recap

Como

WLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPisaComo
Shots10 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match7 shots/match
Possession27%73%
Corners1 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Pisa, Como. A second useful context is: Como have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Pisa, Como.

3 daysRest daysPisa · Como3.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPisaComoBaseline
Rest days3 days3.1 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.9%PossessionPisa · Como60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPisaComoBaseline
Possession39.9%60.8%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Pisa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Pisa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.95 shots/matchShotsPisa · Como13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPisaComoBaseline
Shots9.95 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Como in 9 · 4 too close

0.68 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/181.44 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/180.67 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
9.95 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1813.8 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/1810.6 shots/match
2.26 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/185 shots/match
4.68 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/183.78 shots/match
39.9%Possessionseason · 19/1860.8%
3.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/184 corners/match
5.26 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/183.67 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/182.44 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1814.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1850%
42%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1867%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa2.5
Como97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa9.2
Como82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa17.5
Como81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa52.5
Como22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa42.5
Como81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa12.5
Como42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa17.5
Como72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.6 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match
1.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
39.2%Possession5/560.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.7 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.6 shots/matchShots10/1014.1 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.3 shots/match
40.7%Possession10/1063.1%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 18 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored19/181.44 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed19/180.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.95 shots/matchShots19/1813.8 shots/match
2.26 shots/matchShots on target19/185 shots/match
39.9%Possession19/1860.8%
3.42 corners/matchCorners19/184 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCards19/182.44 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1814.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
0.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.3 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
42.6%Possession10/1060.5%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 6 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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