PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 11:30 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

WWLLW
1–0Full-time recap

Udinese

WLWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoUdinese
Shots15 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession62%38%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Udinese's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Udinese have a visible away split

moderate

Udinese's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.89 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.89 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.1%▲PossessionComo · Udinese46.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoUdineseBaseline
Possession60.1%46.1%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Udinese in 2 · 5 too close

1.35 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/181 goals/match
0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 17/181.61 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/1812.4 shots/match
10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 17/1812.8 shots/match
4.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/183.78 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/183.78 shots/match
60.1%Possessionseason · 17/1846.1%
3.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/184.5 corners/match
3.82 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 17/184.44 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/18▲2 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1814.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
47%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1822%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/18▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como97.5
Udinese37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como76.7
Udinese39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como82.5
Udinese42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como17.5
Udinese72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como86.2
Udinese50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como42.5
Udinese57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como70
Udinese51.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
58.4%Possession5/543.4%
4 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.5 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
62.9%Possession10/1043.8%
4 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 18 matches
1.35 goals/match▲Goals scored17/181 goals/match
0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/181.61 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots17/1812.4 shots/match
4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target17/183.78 shots/match
60.1%Possession17/1846.1%
3.94 corners/matchCorners17/184.5 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards17/182 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1814.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/91 goals/match
0.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/91.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots8/99.89 shots/match
6.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/93.22 shots/match
61.3%Possession8/943.8%
4 corners/matchCorners8/94.44 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards8/92.44 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls8/913.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.77 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoUdinese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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