PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como 1–0 Udinese · Serie A

Como

WWLLW
1–0Historical match

Udinese

WLWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como won 1–0.

Shots
153
Shots on target
30
Expected goals
2.240.61
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Udinese 1–0. Recorded in this match (Como – Udinese): shots 15–3, shots on target 3–0, expected goals 2.24–0.61, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese have a visible away split

moderate

Udinese's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.89 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.89 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.1% ●PossessionComo · Udinese46.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoUdineseBaseline
Possession60.1%46.1%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots3 shotsComo 15 shots, Udinese 3 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots0 shotsComo 3 shots, Udinese 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.24 xG0.61 xGComo 2.24 xG, Udinese 0.61 xG
  • Possession62%38%Como 62%, Udinese 38%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersComo 3 corners, Udinese 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsComo 12 fouls, Udinese 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsComo 1 card, Udinese 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alberto Moreno · Como · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Como · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Como · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Como · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJesús Rodriguez · Como · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMërgim Vojvoda · Como · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Como · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Bertola · Udinese · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMáximo Perrone · Como · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolas-Gerrit Kühn · Como · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Como · 1′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Caqueret · Como · 58′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 60′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedMáximo Perrone · Como · 45′ · 0.40 xG · on targetJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 48′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 18′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 15 shots, 3 on target, 2.24 xG. Udinese: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Lucas Da Cunha · Como · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 2.24 xG · Udinese 0.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Como
0Draws
1Udinese
Como — Udinese · Serie A4–1
Udinese — Como · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como17 matchesUdinese18 matches
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/181 goal/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/181.61 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/181.04 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots17/1812.4 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/183.78 shots/match
60.1% ●Possession17/1846.1%
3.94 corners/matchCorners17/18● 4.5 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards17/182 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1814.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsComoUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headComo — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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