PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

LLWWW
1–1Full-time recap

Bologna

DLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoBologna
Shots12 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession59%41%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match3 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Como, Bologna. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Como, Bologna.

4 days▲Rest daysComo · Bologna2.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricComoBolognaBaseline
Rest days4 days2.85 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Como
0Draws
1Bologna
Bologna — Como · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 2 · 6 too close

1.42 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/191.37 goals/match
0.68 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/191.05 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 19/1912.9 shots/match
10.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/1910.8 shots/match
4.89 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/194.11 shots/match
3.68 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/193.89 shots/match
60.7%Possessionseason · 19/1954.9%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.84 corners/match
3.58 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/194.26 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/19▲2.16 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1914.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
47%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1932%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲74%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como97.5
Bologna67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como81.7
Bologna59.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como82.5
Bologna60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como27.5
Bologna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como77.5
Bologna68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como42.5
Bologna67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como70
Bologna62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
60.6%Possession5/549%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/matchShots10/1013.6 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.4 shots/match
61.9%Possession10/1052.2%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.37 goals/match
0.68 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.05 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots19/1912.9 shots/match
4.89 shots/match▲Shots on target19/194.11 shots/match
60.7%Possession19/1954.9%
4 corners/matchCorners19/194.84 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards19/192.16 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 10 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored9/101.5 goals/match
0.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/101.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/match▲Shots9/1010.3 shots/match
5.78 shots/match▲Shots on target9/103.8 shots/match
61%Possession9/1053.9%
4 corners/matchCorners9/104.3 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/102.7 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls9/1015.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.85 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoBologna
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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