PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap

Udinese

WLDLW
2–2Full-time recap

Pisa

LDLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUdinesePisa
Shots11 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession54%46%
Corners3 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Udinese, Pisa. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Udinese, Pisa.

2.76 days▲Rest daysUdinese · Pisa4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricUdinesePisaBaseline
Rest days2.76 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Udinese have a visible home split

moderate

Udinese's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Udinese
0Draws
0Pisa
Pisa — Udinese · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 1 · 5 too close

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/200.75 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/2010.2 shots/match
12.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2015.4 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/202.5 shots/match
3.95 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/204.55 shots/match
46.5%Possessionseason · 20/2040.2%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/203.65 corners/match
4.55 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/205.15 corners/match
1.9 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/202.15 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2013.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2020%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2045%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese42.5
Pisa7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese42.5
Pisa10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese39.2
Pisa20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese67.5
Pisa57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese47.5
Pisa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese52.5
Pisa27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese50
Pisa22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.2 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/538.6%
4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.9 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match
45.5%Possession10/1041.7%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored20/200.75 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shots20/2010.2 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target20/202.5 shots/match
46.5%Possession20/2040.2%
4.5 corners/matchCorners20/203.65 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards20/202.15 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
49%Possession10/1037.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsUdinesePisa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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