Serie A · 2025Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio Marcantonio BentegodiFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

Torino

LLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaTorino
Shots7 shots/match21 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession48%52%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Torino in 8 · 6 too close

0.76 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/181.11 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/181.56 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1812.6 shots/match
13.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1813.4 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/184.61 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/184.11 shots/match
40.1%Possessionseason · 17/1844.4%
3.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/184.39 corners/match
4.82 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/184.11 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/181.78 cards/match
17.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1814 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1844%
53%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1872%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona2.5
Torino22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona40
Torino58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona21.7
Torino34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona92.5
Torino87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona97.5
Torino45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona37.5
Torino52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona59.4
Torino58.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.8 shots/matchShots5/515.2 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56 shots/match
41.4%Possession5/547.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10 shots/matchShots10/1013.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.6 shots/match
40%Possession10/1044.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
17.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 18 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored17/181.11 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/181.56 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.7 shots/matchShots17/1812.6 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on target17/184.61 shots/match
40.1%Possession17/1844.4%
3.82 corners/matchCorners17/184.39 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCards17/181.78 cards/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls17/1814 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored8/91.11 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/91.33 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.3 shots/matchShots8/912.6 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target8/94.56 shots/match
42.4%Possession8/943.2%
4.88 corners/matchCorners8/94.22 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards8/92.11 cards/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls8/914.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.23 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.12 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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