Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter 3–1 Bologna · Serie A

Inter

LWWWW
3–1Historical match

Bologna

WLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 3–1.

Shots
196
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
2.930.85
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Bologna 3–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Bologna): shots 19–6, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 2.93–0.85, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.18 corners/match ●CornersInter · Bologna4.94 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInterBolognaBaseline
Corners7.18 corners/match4.94 corners/match4.37 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsInter 19 shots, Bologna 6 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsInter 10 shots, Bologna 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.93 xG0.85 xGInter 2.93 xG, Bologna 0.85 xG
  • Possession58%42%Inter 58%, Bologna 42%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerInter 7 corners, Bologna 1 corner
  • Fouls20 fouls21 foulsInter 20 fouls, Bologna 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsInter 3 cards, Bologna 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Inter · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 39′ · 0.10 xG · goalJens Odgaard · Bologna · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 6′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFederico Dimarco · Inter · 48′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 48′ · 0.17 xG · goalNicolò Barella · Inter · 52′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Inter · 51′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 8′ · 0.26 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 61′ · 0.29 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 74′ · 0.41 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 52′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 83′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 19 shots, 10 on target, 3.04 xG. Bologna: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Piotr Zieliński · Inter · 39′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 48′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 74′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 3.04 xG · Bologna 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Inter
2Draws
2Bologna
Bologna — Inter · Serie A1–0
Inter — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Inter · Serie A0–1
Inter — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Inter · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter17 matchesBologna17 matches
2.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.47 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171 goal/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.32 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots17/1713.4 shots/match
5.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.35 shots/match
59.2% ●Possession17/1755.9%
7.18 corners/match ●Corners17/174.94 corners/match
1.59 cards/matchCards17/172.18 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1715.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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