PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Wed, 14 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeStadio Diego Armando MaradonaFull-time recap

Napoli

LWWDD
0–0Full-time recap

Parma

LWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNapoliParma
Shots16 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession69%31%
Corners7 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Napoli, Parma. A second useful context is: Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Napoli, Parma.

2.91 days▲Rest daysNapoli · Parma3.25 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNapoliParmaBaseline
Rest days2.91 days3.25 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsNapoli · Parma11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliParmaBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match11 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Napoli have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.8%▲PossessionNapoli · Parma42.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNapoliParmaBaseline
Possession57.8%42.6%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Napoli favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Parma in 0 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/200.7 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/2011 shots/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2014.5 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/202.8 shots/match
2.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/204.2 shots/match
57.8%Possessionseason · 20/2042.6%
5.65 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/203.15 corners/match
2.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/204.8 corners/match
1.4 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/202.05 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2010.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2030%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2050%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Napoli87.5
Parma12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Napoli72.5
Parma15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Napoli85
Parma37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Napoli32.5
Parma57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Napoli15
Parma26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Napoli87.5
Parma2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Napoli61.2
Parma12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52 shots/match
61.4%Possession5/543.2%
6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match
56.7%Possession10/1043.8%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored20/200.7 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots20/2011 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target20/202.8 shots/match
57.8%Possession20/2042.6%
5.65 corners/matchCorners20/203.15 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards20/202.05 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 10 matches
1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/100.7 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/100.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots9/1010.5 shots/match
5.11 shots/match▲Shots on target9/103.2 shots/match
58%Possession9/1042.2%
6.33 corners/matchCorners9/103.1 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards9/102.3 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls9/1011 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.25 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNapoliParma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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