Serie A · 2025Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona 2–3 Bologna · Serie A

2–3Historical match

Bologna

LDLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–3.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.20.79
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Hellas Verona 3–2. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Bologna): shots 15–14, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.2–0.79, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona, Bologna.

4.02 days ▲Rest daysHellas Verona · Bologna5.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHellas VeronaBolognaBaseline
Rest days4.02 days5.15 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsHellas Verona 15 shots, Bologna 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsHellas Verona 5 shots, Bologna 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.79 xGHellas Verona 1.2 xG, Bologna 0.79 xG
  • Possession39%61%Hellas Verona 39%, Bologna 61%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersHellas Verona 4 corners, Bologna 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsHellas Verona 13 fouls, Bologna 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsHellas Verona 1 card, Bologna 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emil Holm · Bologna · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 21′ · 0.02 xG · goalAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRoberto Gagliardini · Hellas Verona · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDomagoj Bradarić · Hellas Verona · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Nelsson · Hellas Verona · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiovane · Hellas Verona · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 24′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGiovane · Hellas Verona · 67′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEmil Holm · Bologna · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 44′ · 0.07 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTorbjørn Heggem · Bologna · 71′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAntoine Bernede · Hellas Verona · 10′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 29′ · 0.09 xG · goalGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 13′ · 0.10 xG · goalAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRemo Freuler · Hellas Verona · 71′ · 0.14 xG · goalRoberto Gagliardini · Hellas Verona · 77′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 77′ · 0.21 xG · on targetGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 25′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.39 xG. Bologna: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gift Orban · Hellas Verona · 13′Remo Freuler · Hellas Verona · 71′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 21′Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 29′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 1.39 xG · Bologna 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Hellas Verona
1Draws
2Bologna
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–3
Bologna — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona20 matchesBologna20 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.28 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 13 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target20/204.15 shots/match
39.4%Possession20/20● 55.3%
3.6 corners/matchCorners20/20● 4.85 corners/match
2.45 cards/matchCards20/202.15 cards/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2014.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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