PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Thu, 15 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeStadio Marcantonio BentegodiFull-time recap
2–3Full-time recap

Bologna

LDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaBologna
Shots15 shots/match▲14 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession39%61%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona, Bologna. A second useful context is: Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona, Bologna.

4.02 days▲Rest daysHellas Verona · Bologna5.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHellas VeronaBolognaBaseline
Rest days4.02 days5.15 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 9 · 5 too close

0.85 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/20▲1.45 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/20▲13 shots/match
13.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/20▲11 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/204.15 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/20▲3.95 shots/match
39.4%Possessionseason · 20/2055.3%
3.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/204.85 corners/match
4.7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/20▲4.25 corners/match
2.45 cards/matchCardsseason · 20/20▲2.15 cards/match
16.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2014.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/20▲30%
55%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/20▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona2.5
Bologna67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona40
Bologna62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona22.5
Bologna60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona92.5
Bologna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona91.2
Bologna71.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona27.5
Bologna72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona56.9
Bologna66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match
40.2%Possession5/551%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match
41.2%Possession10/1051.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲1.45 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots20/20▲13 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target20/204.15 shots/match
39.4%Possession20/2055.3%
3.6 corners/matchCorners20/204.85 corners/match
2.45 cards/matchCards20/202.15 cards/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2014.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 11 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/11▲1.64 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/11▲1.27 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1110.6 shots/match
4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/113.91 shots/match
41.4%Possession10/1154.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/114.36 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/112.64 cards/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1115.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.15 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsHellas VeronaBologna
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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