PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 19 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeStadio Giovanni ZiniFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCremoneseHellas Verona
Shots7 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession56%44%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona.

6.91 days▲Rest daysCremonese · Hellas Verona4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCremoneseHellas VeronaBaseline
Rest days6.91 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.48 shots/match▲ShotsCremonese · Hellas Verona11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseHellas VeronaBaseline
Shots8.48 shots/match11.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cremonese
1Draws
0Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Cremonese · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cremonese favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 5 · 4 too close

0.95 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 21/210.81 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/211.62 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.48 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/21▲11.7 shots/match
16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/21▲13.1 shots/match
3.05 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/21▲4.29 shots/match
5.52 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/21▲4.1 shots/match
45.8%Possessionseason · 21/2139.6%
3.24 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/213.71 corners/match
6.38 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/21▲4.62 corners/match
2.14 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 21/212.33 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2116.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2119%
57%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2152%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cremonese37.5
Hellas Verona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cremonese14.2
Hellas Verona40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cremonese16.7
Hellas Verona35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cremonese2.5
Hellas Verona92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cremonese50
Hellas Verona87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cremonese2.5
Hellas Verona27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cremonese16.2
Hellas Verona56.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.8 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.8 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
44.8%Possession5/539.4%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.1 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.6 shots/match
45.5%Possession10/1041.5%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1016 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
0.95 goals/match▲Goals scored21/210.81 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/211.62 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.48 shots/matchShots21/21▲11.7 shots/match
3.05 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲4.29 shots/match
45.8%Possession21/2139.6%
3.24 corners/matchCorners21/213.71 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards21/212.33 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls21/2116.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 11 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/110.64 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/111.64 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShots10/11▲11.2 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/11▲3.73 shots/match
47.8%Possession10/1137.9%
3.1 corners/matchCorners10/113 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/112.55 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1117.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCremoneseHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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