PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 19 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

Lazio

DDLDW
0–3Full-time recap

Como

WWWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLazioComo
Shots8 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession34%66%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Como. A second useful context is: Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Como.

8.11 days▲Rest daysLazio · Como4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLazioComoBaseline
Rest days8.11 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Como's recent record differs from the season

weak

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsLazio · Como13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioComoBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match10.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Lazio
0Draws
1Como
Como — Lazio · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Como in 7 · 7 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/21▲1.48 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/21▲0.76 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/21▲13.8 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/21▲10.1 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/21▲5.1 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/21▲3.71 shots/match
50.1%Possessionseason · 21/2161.3%
3.76 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/214.1 corners/match
3.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/213.57 corners/match
2.52 cards/matchCardsseason · 21/212.43 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2114 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
48%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2148%
52%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/21▲71%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio52.5
Como97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio36.7
Como81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio52.5
Como83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio12.5
Como22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio55
Como80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio32.5
Como42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio31.2
Como68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
47.2%Possession5/565.6%
4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
3.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.7 shots/match
51.4%Possession10/1062.3%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲1.48 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲0.76 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots21/21▲13.8 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲5.1 shots/match
50.1%Possession21/2161.3%
3.76 corners/matchCorners21/214.1 corners/match
2.52 cards/matchCards21/212.43 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls21/2114 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.55 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲0.82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/matchShots11/11▲13.1 shots/match
4.64 shots/match▲Shots on target11/114.27 shots/match
49.8%Possession11/1161%
4.91 corners/matchCorners11/113.82 corners/match
2.82 cards/matchCards11/112.55 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLazioComo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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