PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Via del MareFull-time recap

Lecce

DLLLL
0–0Full-time recap

Lazio

DLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLecceLazio
Shots15 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession39%61%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lecce. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.59 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lecce.

6 days▲Rest daysLecce · Lazio5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLecceLazioBaseline
Rest days6 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Lecce
0Draws
1Lazio
Lazio — Lecce · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lecce favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Lazio in 7 · 6 too close

0.59 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/22▲0.95 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/22▲0.86 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.77 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/22▲10.9 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2213 shots/match
2.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/22▲3.91 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/224.23 shots/match
42.7%Possessionseason · 22/2250.6%
4.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/223.64 corners/match
5.36 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/22▲3.68 corners/match
2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 22/222.45 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2210.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
32%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/22▲50%
45%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/22▲50%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lecce12.5
Lazio52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lecce4.2
Lazio33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lecce46.7
Lazio52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lecce27.5
Lazio7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lecce35
Lazio52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lecce57.5
Lazio27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lecce23.8
Lazio26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲9.4 shots/match
1 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.2 shots/match
38.8%Possession5/548.6%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.6 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲10.9 shots/match
1.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.7 shots/match
41%Possession10/1050.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/103.5 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
0.59 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲0.95 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲0.86 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.77 shots/matchShots22/22▲10.9 shots/match
2.36 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲3.91 shots/match
42.7%Possession22/2250.6%
4.64 corners/matchCorners22/223.64 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards22/222.45 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 11 matches
0.58 goals/match▲Goals scored12/110.55 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲0.64 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/match▲Shots12/119.55 shots/match
2.92 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲3.18 shots/match
45.8%Possession12/1151.5%
4.83 corners/matchCorners12/112.36 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards12/112.09 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1110.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLecceLazio
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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