PitchMath
Serie A · 2025MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo 1–0 Cremonese · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sassuolo won 1–0.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.10.65
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sassuolo beat Cremonese 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sassuolo – Cremonese): shots 13–10, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.1–0.65, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsSassuolo 13 shots, Cremonese 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsSassuolo 7 shots, Cremonese 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG0.65 xGSassuolo 1.1 xG, Cremonese 0.65 xG
  • Possession45%55%Sassuolo 45%, Cremonese 55%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersSassuolo 3 corners, Cremonese 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsSassuolo 13 fouls, Cremonese 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSassuolo 1 card, Cremonese 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Armand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 5′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Doig · Sassuolo · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatteo Bianchetti · Cremonese · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicholas Pierini · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Walukiewicz · Sassuolo · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNemanja Matić · Sassuolo · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichele Collocolo · Cremonese · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Doig · Sassuolo · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicholas Pierini · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 69′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLuca Moro · Sassuolo · 2′ · 0.13 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 62′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuca Moro · Sassuolo · 55′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 14′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAlieu Fadera · Sassuolo · 3′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.10 xG. Cremonese: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alieu Fadera · Sassuolo · 3′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 1.10 xG · Cremonese 0.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sassuolo
2Draws
2Cremonese
Cremonese — Sassuolo · Serie A3–2
Cremonese — Sassuolo · Serie B1–1
Sassuolo — Cremonese · Serie B1–4
Sassuolo — Cremonese · Serie A3–2
Cremonese — Sassuolo · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Cremonese in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo22 matchesCremonese22 matches
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/220.91 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.32 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals22/220.98 xG/match
10.7 shots/match ▲Shots22/228.55 shots/match
3.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.09 shots/match
45.4%Possession22/22● 46.2%
3.5 corners/match ●Corners22/223.32 corners/match
2.23 cards/matchCards22/222.14 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls22/2213 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSassuoloCremonese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headSassuolo — Cremonese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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