Serie A · 2025Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa 3–2 Bologna · Serie A

Genoa

LDDWD
3–2Historical match

Bologna

LLDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 3–2.

Shots
813
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.540.5
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Bologna 3–2. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Bologna): shots 8–13, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.54–0.5, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.8%PossessionGenoa · Bologna● 55.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenoaBolognaBaseline
Possession46.8%55.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsGenoa 8 shots, Bologna 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsGenoa 6 shots, Bologna 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.54 xG0.5 xGGenoa 0.54 xG, Bologna 0.5 xG
  • Possession49%51%Genoa 49%, Bologna 51%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersGenoa 5 corners, Bologna 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsGenoa 14 fouls, Bologna 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsGenoa 2 cards, Bologna 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Remo Freuler · Bologna · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCiro Immobile · Bologna · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Bologna · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 62′ · 0.03 xG · goalJunior Messias · Genoa · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Otoa · Genoa · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJunior Messias · Genoa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 35′ · 0.05 xG · goalCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 78′ · 0.07 xG · goalTorbjørn Heggem · Bologna · 84′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 22′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJeff Ekhator · Genoa · 17′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Otoa · Bologna · 47′ · 0.15 xG · goalVitinha · Genoa · 67′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 8 shots, 6 on target, 0.53 xG. Bologna: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Ruslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 62′Caleb Ekuban · Genoa · 78′Junior Messias · Genoa · 90′Lewis Ferguson · Bologna · 35′Sebastian Otoa · Bologna · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 0.53 xG · Bologna 0.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Genoa
2Draws
1Bologna
Bologna — Genoa · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Genoa · Serie A1–3
Genoa — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Genoa — Bologna · Serie A2–0
Bologna — Genoa · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa22 matchesBologna22 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.24 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 13.2 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target22/224.05 shots/match
46.8%Possession22/22● 55.3%
3.41 corners/matchCorners22/22● 4.82 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards22/222.23 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls22/2214.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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