PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Lazio 3–2 Genoa · Serie A

Lazio

LDWLD
3–2Historical match

Genoa

DDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 3–2.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
21.58
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Genoa 3–2. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Genoa): shots 14–16, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 2–1.58, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsLazio 14 shots, Genoa 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsLazio 4 shots, Genoa 4 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG1.58 xGLazio 2 xG, Genoa 1.58 xG
  • Possession55%45%Lazio 55%, Genoa 45%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersLazio 5 corners, Genoa 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsLazio 12 fouls, Genoa 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsLazio 2 cards, Genoa 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Danilo Cataldi · Lazio · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 48′ · 0.01 xG · on targetToma Bašić · Lazio · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedToma Bašić · Lazio · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenneth Taylor · Lazio · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaxwel Cornet · Genoa · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPetar Ratkov · Lazio · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikael Ellertsson · Genoa · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedToma Bašić · Lazio · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Messias · Genoa · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDaniel Maldini · Lazio · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedToma Bašić · Lazio · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKenneth Taylor · Lazio · 62′ · 0.11 xG · goalVitinha · Genoa · 75′ · 0.11 xG · goalVitinha · Genoa · 35′ · 0.20 xG · on targetPedro · Lazio · 56′ · 0.82 xG · goalRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 67′ · 0.82 xG · goalDanilo Cataldi · Lazio · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 14 shots, 4 on target, 2.06 xG. Genoa: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Pedro · Lazio · 56′Kenneth Taylor · Lazio · 62′Danilo Cataldi · Lazio · 90′Ruslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 67′Vitinha · Genoa · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 2.06 xG · Genoa 1.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Lazio
0Draws
1Genoa
Genoa — Lazio · Serie A0–3
Genoa — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Genoa · Serie A3–0
Genoa — Lazio · Serie A0–1
Lazio — Genoa · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio23 matchesGenoa23 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.17 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.48 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.22 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots23/2311.3 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target23/234.04 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession23/2346.7%
3.7 corners/match ●Corners23/233.39 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards23/232.22 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioGenoa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLazio — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required