Serie A · 2025Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce 1–2 Parma · Serie A

Lecce

LWLDL
1–2Historical match

Parma

WLWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 1–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.851.04
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Lecce 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Parma): shots 10–12, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.85–1.04, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Parma.

4.77 days ▲Rest daysLecce · Parma3.66 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLecceParmaBaseline
Rest days4.77 days3.66 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsLecce 10 shots, Parma 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsLecce 1 shot, Parma 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.04 xGLecce 0.85 xG, Parma 1.04 xG
  • Possession41%59%Lecce 41%, Parma 59%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersLecce 3 corners, Parma 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls17 foulsLecce 16 fouls, Parma 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardLecce 3 cards, Parma 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emanuele Valeri · Parma · 25′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristian Ordoñez · Parma · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Lecce · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ondrejka · Parma · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Parma · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Lecce · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gabriel · Lecce · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOliver Sørensen · Parma · 75′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Parma · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gabriel · Parma · 64′ · 0.10 xG · goalYoussef Maleh · Lecce · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 54′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 84′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gabriel · Lecce · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 72′ · 0.22 xG · goalNikola Štulić · Lecce · 1′ · 0.23 xG · goalGaetano Oristanio · Parma · 84′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.87 xG. Parma: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nikola Štulić · Lecce · 1′Tiago Gabriel · Parma · 64′Mateo Pellegrino · Parma · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.87 xG · Parma 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lecce
2Draws
0Parma
Parma — Lecce · Serie A0–1
Parma — Lecce · Serie A1–3
Lecce — Parma · Serie A2–2
Parma — Lecce · Serie B0–0
Lecce — Parma · Serie B4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce19 matchesParma19 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 0.74 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.16 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 0.97 xG/match
9.84 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 11.3 shots/match
2.58 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 2.89 shots/match
44.1% ●Possession19/1943.2%
4.89 corners/match ●Corners19/193.26 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards19/192 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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