Serie A · 2025Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese 2–2 Cagliari · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cremonese and Cagliari drew 2–2.

Shots
1221
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.811.8
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cremonese and Cagliari drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Cremonese – Cagliari): shots 12–21, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.81–1.8, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.53 shots/match ▲ShotsCremonese · Cagliari10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseCagliariBaseline
Shots8.53 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against16.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots21 shotsCremonese 12 shots, Cagliari 21 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsCremonese 5 shots, Cagliari 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG1.8 xGCremonese 1.81 xG, Cagliari 1.8 xG
  • Possession44%56%Cremonese 44%, Cagliari 56%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersCremonese 2 corners, Cagliari 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsCremonese 16 fouls, Cagliari 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsCremonese 2 cards, Cagliari 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michel Adopo · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Cremonese · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGennaro Borrelli · Cagliari · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 31′ · 0.05 xG · on targetZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGennaro Borrelli · Cagliari · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Cagliari · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGennaro Borrelli · Cagliari · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarco Palestra · Cagliari · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRomano Floriani Mussolini · Cremonese · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Cagliari · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Cremonese · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYael Trepy · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.10 xG · goalGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 28′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGennaro Borrelli · Cagliari · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Cagliari · 86′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 51′ · 0.14 xG · goalDennis Johnsen · Cremonese · 4′ · 0.17 xG · goalDennis Johnsen · Cremonese · 48′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 59′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 63′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJari Vandeputte · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedJuan Rodriguez · Cagliari · 44′ · 0.38 xG · on targetJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 29′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cremonese: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.78 xG. Cagliari: 21 shots, 5 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese · 4′Jamie Vardy · Cremonese · 29′Michel Adopo · Cagliari · 51′Yael Trepy · Cagliari · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cremonese 1.78 xG · Cagliari 1.85 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cremonese favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cremonese19 matchesCagliari19 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.11 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.42 goals/match
1.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/190.94 xG/match
8.53 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 10.2 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 3.47 shots/match
45.4%Possession19/19● 45.8%
3.16 corners/matchCorners19/19● 3.47 corners/match
2.16 cards/matchCards19/192.37 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1915.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 8 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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