PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 27 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

DLLLD
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPisaJuventus
Shots8 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target0 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession41%59%
Corners2 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.94 shots/match▲ShotsPisa · Juventus15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPisaJuventusBaseline
Shots9.94 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus have a visible away split

moderate

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Juventus in 10 · 4 too close

0.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/17▲1.35 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/17▲0.88 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.94 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/17▲15.5 shots/match
15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/17▲10.8 shots/match
2.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/17▲5.47 shots/match
4.59 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/17▲3 shots/match
40.8%Possessionseason · 17/1756.4%
3.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/174.65 corners/match
5.47 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/17▲4.29 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/17▲1.53 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1713.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/17▲35%
41%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/17▲76%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa7.5
Juventus67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa9.2
Juventus85.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa20
Juventus80.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa47.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa42.5
Juventus27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa12.5
Juventus65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa17.5
Juventus74.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲12 shots/match
1.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
46.2%Possession5/551.2%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.3 shots/match
2.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.8 shots/match
41.3%Possession10/1055.3%
3.2 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.4 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.35 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲0.88 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.94 shots/matchShots17/17▲15.5 shots/match
2.18 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲5.47 shots/match
40.8%Possession17/1756.4%
3.35 corners/matchCorners17/174.65 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards17/171.53 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
0.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1 goals/match
0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/90.89 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots9/9▲13 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4 shots/match
44.3%Possession9/956.6%
3.89 corners/matchCorners9/93.44 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/914.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.34 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPisaJuventus
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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