Serie A · 2025Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeUnipol DomusFull-time recap

Cagliari

DDLWL

2–2Full-time recap

Pisa

WDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Cagliari	Pisa
Shots	14 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Possession	59%	41%
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	20 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.06 goals/match	1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 3 · 7 too close

1.06 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/160.75 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

9.88 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1610.1 shots/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1615.9 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/162.31 shots/match

4.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.44 shots/match

45.3%Possessionseason · 16/1640.8%

3.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/163.44 corners/match

5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/165.31 corners/match

2.56 cards/matchCardsseason · 16/16▲1.88 cards/match

16.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1613.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲25%

69%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1644%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari22.5

Pisa7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari24.2

Pisa9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari25

Pisa21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari7.5

Pisa52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari92.5

Pisa42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari10

Pisa17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari34.4

Pisa18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.6 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52 shots/match

48%Possession5/545.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

3.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

17.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲10.3 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.3 shots/match

46.5%Possession10/1043.2%

3.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match

16.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.06 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.75 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.38 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.88 shots/matchShots16/1610.1 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target16/162.31 shots/match

45.3%Possession16/1640.8%

3.38 corners/matchCorners16/163.44 corners/match

2.56 cards/matchCards16/161.88 cards/match

16.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.38 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.13 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.5 shots/match▲Shots8/89.63 shots/match

4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.38 shots/match

47.8%Possession8/836.8%

3.5 corners/matchCorners8/82.75 corners/match

2.63 cards/matchCards8/81.5 cards/match

17 fouls/matchFouls8/813.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.66 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.66 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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