PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Torino 1–2 Cagliari · Serie A

Torino

LLLWW
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 1–2.

Shots
199
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
1.60.77
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Torino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Torino – Cagliari): shots 19–9, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 1.6–0.77, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsTorino 19 shots, Cagliari 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsTorino 10 shots, Cagliari 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG0.77 xGTorino 1.6 xG, Cagliari 0.77 xG
  • Possession56%44%Torino 56%, Cagliari 44%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersTorino 6 corners, Cagliari 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsTorino 14 fouls, Cagliari 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsTorino 3 cards, Cagliari 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Mazzitelli · Cagliari · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Torino · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuca Mazzitelli · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Pedersen · Torino · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiels Nkounkou · Torino · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNikola Vlašić · Torino · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmirhan İlkhan · Torino · 83′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArdian Ismajli · Torino · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCyril Ngonge · Torino · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGuillermo Maripán · Torino · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 54′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 87′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 44′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSemih Kılıçsoy · Cagliari · 66′ · 0.15 xG · goalRiyad Idrissi · Cagliari · 8′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSemih Kılıçsoy · Cagliari · 59′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 27′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.31 xG · goalNikola Vlašić · Torino · 28′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 19 shots, 10 on target, 1.58 xG. Cagliari: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nikola Vlašić · Torino · 28′Matteo Prati · Cagliari · 45′Semih Kılıçsoy · Cagliari · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 1.58 xG · Cagliari 0.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Torino
1Draws
2Cagliari
Torino — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Cagliari — Torino · Serie A3–2
Cagliari — Torino · Serie A1–2
Torino — Cagliari · Serie A0–0
Torino — Cagliari · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino17 matchesCagliari17 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/170.92 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots17/179.82 shots/match
4.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.53 shots/match
44%Possession17/17● 45.2%
4.24 corners/match ●Corners17/173.29 corners/match
1.76 cards/matchCards17/172.41 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1716 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headTorino — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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