PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce 0–3 Como · Serie A

Lecce

DLWLW
0–3Historical match

Como

DWWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como won 0–3.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
0.761.63
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Lecce 3–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Como): shots 11–12, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 0.76–1.63, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.8%PossessionLecce · Como● 60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceComoBaseline
Possession44.8%60%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Como13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceComoBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsLecce 11 shots, Como 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsLecce 5 shots, Como 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG1.63 xGLecce 0.76 xG, Como 1.63 xG
  • Possession38%62%Lecce 38%, Como 62%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersLecce 4 corners, Como 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls24 foulsLecce 10 fouls, Como 24 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsLecce 2 cards, Como 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Francesco Camarda · Lecce · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 20′ · 0.02 xG · goalYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonino Gallo · Lecce · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Lecce · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÞórir Jóhann Helgason · Lecce · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIvan Smolčić · Como · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gabriel · Lecce · 86′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Como · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moreno · Como · 43′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJesús Rodriguez · Como · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Sala · Lecce · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 37′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 75′ · 0.21 xG · goalDiego Carlos · Como · 66′ · 0.28 xG · on targetYoussef Maleh · Lecce · 48′ · 0.31 xG · on targetJacobo Ramón · Como · 66′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.80 xG. Como: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nico Paz · Como · 20′Jacobo Ramón · Como · 66′Anastasios Douvikas · Como · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.80 xG · Como 1.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
2Draws
2Como
Lecce — Como · Serie A0–3
Como — Lecce · Serie A2–0
Como — Lecce · Serie B1–1
Lecce — Como · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce16 matchesComo16 matches
0.69 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.75 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.33 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 13.7 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5 shots/match
44.8%Possession16/16● 60%
5.44 corners/match ●Corners16/164 corners/match
1.81 cards/matchCards16/162.56 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1615 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceComo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLecce — Como
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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