PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Leonidas Sodre de Castro

Paysandu 2–1 Ferroviária · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paysandu won 2–1.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
52
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paysandu beat Ferroviária 2–1. Recorded in this match (Paysandu – Ferroviária): shots 13–10, shots on target 5–2, possession 51%–49%, corners 5–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu's recent record differs from the season

weak

Paysandu's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.64 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paysandu have a visible home split

moderate

Paysandu's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsPaysandu 13 shots, Ferroviária 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsPaysandu 5 shots, Ferroviária 2 shots
  • Possession51%49%Paysandu 51%, Ferroviária 49%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersPaysandu 5 corners, Ferroviária 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsPaysandu 12 fouls, Ferroviária 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsPaysandu 3 cards, Ferroviária 4 cards
  • Passes294 passes290 passesPaysandu 294 passes, Ferroviária 290 passes
  • Pass accuracy70%69%Paysandu 70%, Ferroviária 69%
  • Shots inside box6 shots8 shotsPaysandu 6 shots, Ferroviária 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksPaysandu 3 blocks, Ferroviária 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesPaysandu 1 save, Ferroviária 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsidePaysandu 3 offsides, Ferroviária 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paysandu favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Ferroviária in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paysandu14 matchesFerroviária14 matches
0.64 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1 goal/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1 goal/match
13.9 shots/matchShots14/1414.1 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.36 shots/match
44.8%Possession14/14● 50.7%
5.64 corners/match ●Corners14/144.36 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards14/142.71 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Jul 2025, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsPaysanduFerroviária
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required