PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Arena Pantanal

Cuiabá 0–1 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

Cuiabá

WWWLL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 0–1.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
33
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo SP beat Cuiaba 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiaba – Botafogo SP): shots 16–12, shots on target 3–3, possession 66%–34%, corners 5–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiaba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiaba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo SP show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Botafogo SP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCuiaba · Botafogo SP10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCuiabaBotafogo SPBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsCuiabá 16 shots, Botafogo-SP 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsCuiabá 3 shots, Botafogo-SP 3 shots
  • Possession66%34%Cuiabá 66%, Botafogo-SP 34%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersCuiabá 5 corners, Botafogo-SP 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsCuiabá 12 fouls, Botafogo-SP 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsCuiabá 2 cards, Botafogo-SP 2 cards
  • Passes542 passes287 passesCuiabá 542 passes, Botafogo-SP 287 passes
  • Pass accuracy88%77%Cuiabá 88%, Botafogo-SP 77%
  • Shots inside box9 shots5 shotsCuiabá 9 shots, Botafogo-SP 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksCuiabá 4 blocks, Botafogo-SP 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesCuiabá 2 saves, Botafogo-SP 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideCuiabá 2 offsides, Botafogo-SP 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá14 matchesBotafogo-SP14 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.86 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.21 goals/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/1410.3 shots/match
4.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.5 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession14/1445.6%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners14/144.71 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards14/142.5 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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