PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Arena Fonte Luminosa

Ferroviária 1–3 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 1–3.

Shots
1615
Shots on target
39
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova beat Ferroviária 3–1. Recorded in this match (Ferroviária – Vila Nova): shots 16–15, shots on target 3–9, possession 61%–39%, corners 7–8. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ferroviária's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ferroviária's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots15 shotsFerroviária 16 shots, Vila Nova FC 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsFerroviária 3 shots, Vila Nova FC 9 shots
  • Possession61%39%Ferroviária 61%, Vila Nova FC 39%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersFerroviária 7 corners, Vila Nova FC 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsFerroviária 14 fouls, Vila Nova FC 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardFerroviária 3 cards, Vila Nova FC 1 card
  • Passes535 passes342 passesFerroviária 535 passes, Vila Nova FC 342 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%78%Ferroviária 87%, Vila Nova FC 78%
  • Shots inside box9 shots10 shotsFerroviária 9 shots, Vila Nova FC 10 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksFerroviária 5 blocks, Vila Nova FC 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves2 savesFerroviária 6 saves, Vila Nova FC 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideFerroviária 0 offsides, Vila Nova FC 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ferroviária favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ferroviária15 matchesVila Nova FC15 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored15/150.93 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1 goal/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots15/1512.6 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession15/1545.8%
4.53 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.8 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCards15/152.4 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Jul 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFerroviáriaVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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