Premier League · 2026

Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Orenburg · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.41.1
Shots
14.313.1
Possession
48%37.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: krylya Sovetov Samara have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Orenburg have a visible away split

weak

Orenburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.25 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16 fouls/matchFoulsKrylya Sovetov Samara · Orenburg17.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraOrenburgBaseline
Fouls16 fouls/match17.6 fouls/match14.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 4 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara10 matchesOrenburg10 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1 goal/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots10/1013.1 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match
48% ●Possession10/1037.3%
3.9 corners/match ●Corners10/103.4 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls10/1017.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Krylya Sovetov Samara
2Draws
1Orenburg
Orenburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–0
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg · Russian Cup2–0
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg · Premier League1–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg · Premier League2–0
Orenburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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