PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Rostov · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.21.1
Shots
15.613.6
Possession
58.7%45.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.7% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · FC Rostov45.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgFC RostovBaseline
Possession58.7%45.7%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 1 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg10 matchesFC Rostov10 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots10/1013.6 shots/match
5.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.9 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession10/1045.7%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners10/104.3 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Zenit St. Petersburg
0Draws
0FC Rostov
FC Rostov — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov · Premier League2–1
FC Rostov — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov · Premier League5–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness30 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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