PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.41.5
Shots
12.612.4
Possession
40.6%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: dinamo Makhachkala's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Dinamo Makhachkala's recent record differs from the season

weak

Dinamo Makhachkala's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Dinamo Makhachkala show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Dinamo Makhachkala's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBaltika Kaliningrad · Dinamo Makhachkala12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBaltika KaliningradDinamo MakhachkalaBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Baltika Kaliningrad favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Dinamo Makhachkala in 1 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Baltika Kaliningrad10 matchesDinamo Makhachkala10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match
12.6 shots/matchShots10/1012.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match
40.6%Possession10/10● 46.8%
5 corners/match ●Corners10/104.1 corners/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Baltika Kaliningrad
1Draws
0Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League2–2
Baltika Kaliningrad — Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBaltika KaliningradDinamo Makhachkala
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headBaltika Kaliningrad — Dinamo Makhachkala
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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