PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Togliatti · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.561.22
Shots
12.912.1
Possession
39.9%53.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: akron Togliatti have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: akron Togliatti's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Akron Togliatti show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Akron Togliatti's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsBaltika Kaliningrad · Akron Togliatti12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBaltika KaliningradAkron TogliattiBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Akron Togliatti have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.9%PossessionBaltika Kaliningrad · Akron Togliatti● 53.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBaltika KaliningradAkron TogliattiBaseline
Possession39.9%53.1%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Baltika Kaliningrad favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Akron Togliatti in 1 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Baltika Kaliningrad9 matchesAkron Togliatti9 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92 goals/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots9/912.1 shots/match
4.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94 shots/match
39.9%Possession9/9● 53.1%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners9/94.56 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls9/915.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Baltika Kaliningrad
0Draws
2Akron Togliatti
Baltika Kaliningrad — Akron Togliatti · Premier League0–1
Baltika Kaliningrad — Akron Togliatti · Russian Cup3–0
Akron Togliatti — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League0–2
Akron Togliatti — Baltika Kaliningrad · Russian Cup2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness46 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBaltika KaliningradAkron Togliatti
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headBaltika Kaliningrad — Akron Togliatti
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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