PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moscow · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.441.11
Shots
12.78.67
Possession
47.2%44.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: akhmat Grozny's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Akhmat Grozny show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAkhmat Grozny · Rodina Moscow8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAkhmat GroznyRodina MoscowBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match8.67 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match20.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Rodina Moscow in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny9 matchesRodina Moscow9 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.44 goals/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots9/98.67 shots/match
4.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.89 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession9/944.1%
4.56 corners/match ●Corners9/93.89 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls9/914.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness52 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyRodina Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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