PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

FK Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.561.67
Shots
15.314.7
Possession
58.1%51.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.56 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 1 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar9 matchesCSKA Moscow9 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91 goal/match
15.3 shots/matchShots9/914.7 shots/match
4.89 shots/matchShots on target9/95.11 shots/match
58.1% ●Possession9/951.8%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/94.33 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls9/911.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FK Krasnodar
1Draws
2CSKA Moscow
FK Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow · Russian Cup4–0
CSKA Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Russian Cup3–1
FK Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow · Premier League3–2
CSKA Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–1
CSKA Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness51 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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