Primera A · 2026

Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.940.71
Expected goals
1.530.75
Shots
16.58.73
Possession
58.2%44.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: atlético Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: atlético Nacional have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Atlético Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Atlético Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Nacional · Deportivo Pereira8.73 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético NacionalDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match8.73 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match16.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atlético Nacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Nacional's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.94 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportivo Pereira have a visible away split

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.31 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.73 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.31 shots/match8.73 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Nacional favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pereira in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Nacional36 matchesDeportivo Pereira31 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/310.71 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/311.58 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/260.75 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots36/308.73 shots/match
6.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/303.2 shots/match
58.2% ●Possession36/3044.9%
5.39 corners/match ●Corners36/302.6 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards7/103.4 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls36/3011.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Nacional
0Draws
1Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira — Atlético Nacional · Primera A1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 5 Nov 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required