PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Once Caldas vs Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.421.1
Expected goals
1.091.02
Shots
15.211.6
Possession
53.3%50.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Once Caldas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Once Caldas favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 1 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Once Caldas33 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas29 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/291.1 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/291.38 goals/match
1.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/231.02 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots31/2911.6 shots/match
5.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/293.59 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession31/2950.6%
5.13 corners/match ●Corners31/294.41 corners/match
3.13 cards/matchCards8/92.67 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls31/2911.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Once Caldas
1Draws
0Rionegro Águilas Doradas
Rionegro Águilas Doradas — Once Caldas · Primera A2–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness38 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Nov 2026, 23:25 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOnce CaldasRionegro Águilas Doradas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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