Lincoln City
Championship · 2026Lincoln City vs Birmingham City · Championship
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 0.88–1.5
- Expected goals
- 1.34–1.66
- Shots
- 12.4–13.4
- Possession
- 35.6%–48.4%
30-second read
What the record shows
One pattern stands out in the record: birmingham City have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: lincoln City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Lincoln City have a visible home split
weakLincoln City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16.3 shots/match | 12.4 shots/match | 13.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Birmingham City's recent record differs from the season
weakBirmingham City's last-five shots average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15.8 shots/match | 13.4 shots/match | 13.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateBirmingham City have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Lincoln City | Birmingham City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 35.6% | 48.4% | 50.2% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Lincoln City favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 8 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 41.9 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Lincoln City / Birmingham City
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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