PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Stoke City vs Preston North End · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.631
Expected goals
0.931.35
Shots
11.913
Possession
46.5%43.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: stoke City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Stoke City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stoke City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stoke City favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Preston North End in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stoke City8 matchesPreston North End8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.35 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13 shots/match
4.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.13 shots/match
46.5% ●Possession8/843.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.25 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stoke City
3Draws
1Preston North End
Preston North End — Stoke City · Championship3–1
Stoke City — Preston North End · Championship0–0
Preston North End — Stoke City · Championship1–1
Stoke City — Preston North End · Championship0–0
Preston North End — Stoke City · Championship1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStoke CityPreston North End
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headStoke City — Preston North End
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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