PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.63
Expected goals
0.870.93
Shots
11.611.9
Possession
51.8%46.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: stoke City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Stoke City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stoke City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Blackburn Rovers have a visible home split

weak

Blackburn Rovers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Stoke City in 7 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers8 matchesStoke City8 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 0.93 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots8/811.9 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target8/84.13 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession8/846.5%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners8/84.5 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls8/815.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Blackburn Rovers
2Draws
2Stoke City
Stoke City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–1
Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City · Championship1–1
Stoke City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–0
Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City · Championship0–2
Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City · Championship3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness45 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBlackburn RoversStoke City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headBlackburn Rovers — Stoke City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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